There are internal and external factors to consider when imagining the future of Canada’s immigration system beyond the coronavirus pandemic.
Canadian immigration will be shaped by Canada’s demographics, economy, politics, processing capacity, and capacity to integrate newcomers. Externally, immigration levels will remain influenced by global circumstances.
Internal factors affecting Canadian immigration
Internally, Canada is still looking to immigration to drive its post-coronavirus economic recovery. Canada’s immigration minister, Marco Mendicino, promised that immigration will remain an “enduring value” after the pandemic. Mendicino recently met with provincial immigration ministers to discuss immigration levels up until 2023, the importance of international students, among other topics pertaining to the future of immigration in Canada.
Canadians themselves, especially younger generations, are also maintaining a generally positive outlook toward immigration, according to a recent Association for Canadian Studies survey. About 61 per cent of the survey’s participants said they believe that immigration will help Canada’s long-term economic recovery.
Demographic factors that drive Canada’s need for immigrants have not changed. Canada has an aging population and a low birth rate.
Over 9 million baby boomers will reach retirement age by 2030, and Canada’s birth rate is at about 1.6 babies per couple when a birth rate of 2.1 is needed in order to maintain the size of its population. Canada’s birth rate may dip even further due to the economic uncertainty caused by COVID-19.
By 2034, immigrants are expected to be responsible for 100 per cent of Canada’s population growth and an increasing share of economic growth, the Conference Board of Canada says.
Immigrants do well in creating jobs and succeeding in the labour market. Statistics Canada recently found that immigrant-owned businesses were more likely to create a new product or innovate on an existing process or method. Immigrants who come to Canada through the Provincial Nominee Program or the federal Canadian Experience Class tend to fare better in the labour market than other immigration programs.
At the same time, immigrants who arrive under the Federal Skilled Worker Program also successfully integrate into the labour market and tend to surpass the earnings of Canadian-born workers after five years or so of landing in Canada.
Source: CIC NEWS
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